Will there be any national border changes in North America before February 2026?
7
150แน274Feb 2
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_national_border_changes_(1914%E2%80%93present)#North_America
Last one was in 2022. Last one before that was in 2010. Obviously something like Kansas splitting into two states, both still part of the USA, wouldn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?
2% chance
Will something happen in 2026?
77% chance
Will the United States close borders by 2040?
8% chance
Will the US violate the sovereignty of Canada before January 20th 2029?
12% chance
Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026?
1% chance
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
10% chance
How many UN recognized states will cancel the borders for USA citizens in 2026?
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?
12% chance
Will the USA invade Canada before 2029?
2% chance