Will there be any national border changes in North America before February 2026?
6
150Ṁ174Feb 2
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_national_border_changes_(1914%E2%80%93present)#North_America
Last one was in 2022. Last one before that was in 2010. Obviously something like Kansas splitting into two states, both still part of the USA, wouldn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
12% chance
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2026?
1% chance
Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
5% chance
What time will it be in America in 2026?
Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?
2% chance
Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
23% chance
Will any other country beside the USA officially update it's maps to also say Gulf of America by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will the United States pull out of the USMCA by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will the US experience martial law before 2026?
15% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
15% chance