How many books will Yudkowsky mark that he liked reading in his manifold market for 2024?
4
140Ṁ116resolved Jan 8
Resolved
0.00-2.051H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Max 100, will resolve to 100 if it's over 100.
If his market gets extended indefinitely for some reason then this one probably won't. The extra week of 2025 is just to give him time to get all the resolutions in, I guess. If necessary.
The three options are YES, NO, and N/A. In the unlikely event that he marks some as percentages then each answer resolved over 50% that counts as a yes. So 51% or over.
https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/what-book-will-i-enjoy-reading
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ19 | |
| 2 | Ṁ9 | |
| 3 | Ṁ9 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
66% chance
How many pre-orders will Yudkowsky and Soares' book receive?
14,201
How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide?
430k
How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide? (Compressed range)
120k
How many pre-orders will Yudkowsky and Soares' book receive? (Threshold)
17,283
Will I gain any significant insight from reading Eliezer Yudkowsky's new book?
40% chance
Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book be a NYT bestseller in 2025? under various conditions
Will I spend a significant amount of time on creating chances for Yudkowsky to get a prestigious prize in literature (or find someone who’ll do that)?
20% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
50% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?
35% chance