113
3.4k
12k
2025
86%
A Succession of Bad Days, by Graydon Saunders
84%
Dungeon Crawler Carl, by Matt Dinniman
79%
Unsong - Scott Alexander
77%
Stories of Your Life and Others, by Ted Chiang
76%
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy
76%
Neuropath - R. Scott Bakker
76%
There Is No Antimemetics Division - qntm
75%
The Expanse series, by James S.A. Corey
75%
Luminosity - Alicorn
74%
The Revolution from Rosinante
74%
The Player of Games - Iain M. Banks
73%
A Fire Upon the Deep - Vernor Vinge
73%
Vampire Flower Language by Angela Castir
72%
Fleep by Jason Shiga
72%
Permutation City - Greg Egan
72%
The metamorphosis of Prime Intellect - Roger Williams
71%
Silent Partner, Unfinished Business - Huitzil
71%
Monstergirlcity: Ace Detective - baronet_picklenose_von_dimdark
71%
Sixteen Ways to Defend a Walled City - KJ Parker
70%
The Imperial Radch series by Ann Leckie

What books, that I have not previously read, will I enjoy reading by EOY 2024?

Any number of books may resolve YES or NO. Anything I haven't tried by close of 2024 will resolve N/A.

Mainly looking for fiction, which is most of the long-form media that I consume these days. A lucky or skilled suggestion for nonfiction is still eligible.

If you suggest something I've already read, but already liked or didn't like, I will N/A the option immediately, but give feedback on what the result was.

(Rushing this out to beat the end of N/A resolutions being permitted, without which a policy prediction market doesn't work. If N/A resolutions on existing markets are due to be closed down, I may close down and N/A this one early.)

Previous alltime faves:

  • Vorkosigan saga, by Lois McMaster Bujold

  • Discworld series, by Terry Pratchett

  • Ender's Game and Speaker for the Dead, by Orson Scott Card

  • Across Realtime, by Vernor Vinge

  • World of Null-A, by A. E. Van Vogt

  • A Step Farther Out, Jerry Pournelle

  • So You Want To Be A Wizard, Diane Duane

  • Quarantine, by Greg Egan

More things I enjoyed:

  • Dealing with Dragons, Patricia Wrede

  • Lensman series, by e. e. Doc Smith

  • Mother of Learning, Domagoj Kurmaic

  • The Dark Is Rising, Susan Cooper

  • Penric and Desdemona, Lois McMaster Bujold

  • Chalion series, Lois McMaster Bujold

  • Chronicles of the Black Company, Glen Cook

  • The Fall of Doc Future, W. Dow Rieder

  • Worm, by Wildbow

  • War for the Oaks, by Emma Bull

  • Tschai, Planet of Adventure, by Jack Vance

  • Fuzzy novels, H. Beam Piper

  • Jhereg (and the next few books of Dragaera), by Steven Brust

  • Amber series, by Roger Zelazny

  • Lord of Light, by Roger Zelazny

  • Girl Genius, by Phil Foglio

  • Sandman, by Neil Gaiman

  • Queen of Angels, by Greg Bear

  • Neverness, by David Zindell

Previously enjoyed fanfiction:

  • To the Stars, by Hieronym

  • A Bluer Shade of White, Alexander Wales

  • Time Braid, by ShaperV

  • I'm Here to Help, by Mark Doherty

  • Dreaming of Sunshine, Silver Queen

Recently enjoyed reads:

  • Scholomance, Naomi Novik

  • A Journey of Black and Red, by Macanimus on Royal Road

  • The Calamitous Bob, by Mecanimus on Royal Road

  • Legal Systems Very Different From Ours, David Friedman

  • A Clash of Arms to be Eternally Remembered, extreme high-context glowfic by Lantalote and Lintamande

  • Beware of Chicken, Casualfarmer

Things I didn't finish, in part because of paywalls, but read enough of that they'd qualify:

  • Cultivation Chat Group, by Legend of the Paladin

  • Lord of Mysteries, Cuttlefish that Loves Diving

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It’s pretty helpful to skip roughly the first 45 pages then go back when you’re halfway or more through, to flesh out context.

You haven't read it???

(I dunno how much you would enjoy it now, but I'm extremely surprised someone like you didn't read it in your teens or twenties.)

@ArmandodiMatteo he has read multiple stuff that isn't na'd yet.

Already in the "More things I enjoyed" section.

I'm not sure N/A ing past read "NO"s is a good idea. Successfully predicting tastes should be rewarded

@girllich I suspect the intent is to avoid incentivizing people to submit things that they already know he has read and liked. Personally, I'd be tempted to submit all of his own works just to mess with him.

@ForTruth that's why specifically NOs.

I strongly suspect that he's read Death Note, since he's referenced the plot at least once. It's possible he's only seen the anime or read the synopsis on wikipedia or something.

@asmith He may not have read that Death Note follow-up oneshot that came out in 2020 or so. That was good.

How do you feel about endings where the main character dies?

Eliezer liked Naomi Novik’s Deadly Education. I think her Uprooted is great in a couple of unusual ways, including world-building quite unlike what you’d usually find in English literature (eastern european folklore/entourage). I’m at 75+% he’ll like it.

Huh, that was a fun read! Hard to not think about it though

bought Ṁ10 Answer #beb42ba3da36 YES

We’re doing this wrong. What books did people predict recently that you’d like, that you didn’t like?

@DaveK Good point, I predict seeing people investigating a question by asking for a list of "yes" answers is the kinda thing that makes Eliezer pinch the bridge of his nose and sigh.

If any of y'all think Eliezer didn't just forget to include Godel Escher Bach on his lists in the description - I will bet against you on a market about that.

Ah, I added the first book in the Big Sigma series since I figured people were underestimating how much Eliezer would appreciate something pretty silly and entertaining in his free time - but then I remembered the Alien 3 screenplay/book adaptation from William Gibson. The high quality Alien novels always felt Eliezer-adjacent to me, since it's very much "making dumb choices about X-Risk" content - though now that I say that, my brain is registering the prediction that reading books with those themes might wind up being frustrating and depressing.

Still, it seems like a possibly good option to include. May add it later on.

@NevinWetherill I added the book 7h ago and i don't understand your point. He read the book already and formed a review?

I do not know much about the market creator, so I lack the context.

@KongoLandwalker Ah, yeah, I do not recall clearly firsthand evidence, though haven't googled it yet, but I have a very strong gut instinct that GEB was something he read at like ~13-15 and was to him like watching an intricate industrial mechanism when prior experience had the cognitive flavor of handed down small batch traditional methods.

I do vaguely recall his version of Harry Potter in a fanfic mentioning GEB in a list at one point? It's been years since I've read that fic, but I'd give good odds on "he's mentioned it in that fanfic," "it was a formative work in his childhood/adolescence," "he's recommended it on a shortlist in at least one public book-reccomendation context," and especially "he's read it and enjoyed it at some point in his life so far."

I mean, he was a big part of all of this "distinguishing levels of meta" cultural movement stuff.

Reccomendations:

Foundryside,
City of Stairs,
Strange the Dreamer,
Jonathon Strange and Mr Norrell,
Zenith of Sorcery,
A Wizard and His Tower,
Die Respawn Repeat,
Ave Xia Rem Y,
Virtuous Sons,
Threads of Destiny,

Embers Ad Infinitum,
Paranoid Mage,
Blue Core,
Chasing Sunlight,
System Delenda Est,
Beowulf,
Red Plenty: Inside the Fifties' Soviet Dream,
Cognitive Gadgets: The Cultural Evolution of Thinking,
Landau and Lifshitz,
Never At Rest,
Tschai novels,
A Roadside Picnic.

@MrR I'd bet against Roadside Picnic, Zenith of Sorcery, and Jonathon Strange and Mr Norrell for EY specifically

@girllich Why?

@MrR the point of prediction markets is to reward good predictions

@girllich Yes, I understand that. I'm asking why you'd bet against EY liking Roadside Picnic, Zenith of Sorcery and Jonathon Strange and Mr Norrell. If you don't want to reveal an edge you have in this market, fair enough, but if that were the case I don't see why you'd bother telling me that you'd bet against those three.

The protagonists are fairly clever, reasonably ambitious, the settings are somewhat-to-quite interesting and well-crafted.

There Is No Antimemetics Division - qntm

Btw there’s a show based on it

@ms wtf I didnt know, exciting 👀

@ms and another short film based on it coming later this year!

https://www.instagram.com/p/C4G6A30yg6Q/

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