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MANIFOLD
Who will win the Total Chess World Championship 2026 pilot event?
2
Ṁ1.3kṀ1.1k
Nov 25
38%
Magnus Carlsen
12%
Fabiano Caruana
10%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
8%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa
6%
Other
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
4%
Wesley So
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
2%
Anish Giri
1.2%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
1.2%
Vincent Keymer
1.2%
Hans Niemann

This tournament is a combination of fast classical, rapid, and blitz. I'm not entirely sure about the format, but presumably they'll declare a winner and this market resolves to that person.

I'm using the player list from Wikipedia, not that several top players appear to have declined (including Gukesh and Sindarov for obvious reasons, but also Nakamura and Wei)


https://www.totalchess.com/pilot-2026

Total Chess World Championship 2026 - Wikipedia

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