Who will win the 2026 Chennai Grand Masters chess tournament?

Question

The Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters is scheduled for July 16-22. If there are multiple sections as there have been in past years, this refers to the top section.

https://chennaigrandmasters.com/

If a player is replaced, I will edit their option to their replacement.

[link preview]

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Nodirbek Abdusattorov, followed by Arjun Erigaisi and Alireza Firouzja are most likely. See the market for live updates (1 traders, as of Jul 7, 2026).

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