Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government resumes disbursements of the previously frozen federal funds to Harvard University before September 1, 2025. The resumption must be publicly confirmed by official statements from the U.S. Department of Education, the White House, or Harvard University. If no such confirmation is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

In April 2025, the Trump administration froze approximately $2.2 billion in federal grants to Harvard University, citing concerns over alleged antisemitism on campus and other issues. (cnn.com) Harvard rejected the administration's demands for policy changes, leading to the funding freeze. The university has since filed a lawsuit challenging the legality of the funding suspension. (washingtonpost.com)

Considerations

• Legal Proceedings: The outcome of Harvard's lawsuit against the federal government may influence the resumption of funding. Court decisions or settlements could lead to the unfreezing of funds.

• Policy Compliance: Harvard's willingness to comply with federal demands, such as changes to diversity, equity, and inclusion programs, may affect the government's decision to resume funding.

• Political Climate: Shifts in federal policies or administration priorities could impact the resolution of this issue.