This market resolves to YES if Israel and Hamas formally sign a comprehensive ceasefire agreement before October 15, 2025, as part of the Trump peace plan negotiations.
The agreement must include at least the following elements to qualify:
Cessation of hostilities
Release of hostages
Withdrawal of Israeli forces from specified areas in Gaza
Negotiations are currently taking place in Egypt with delegations from Israel, Hamas, the US, Egypt, and Qatar. Trump has indicated he wants the "first phase" completed this week.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from the parties involved or reliable news sources.
Market resolves to NO if no such agreement is signed by October 15, 2025.
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I think it being called "final" is a bit misleading when its just the first phase signed so far
@FecalAbhuman the agreement includes the three points and the declaration that the war is over
Let’s see how long it holds, but it meets the resolution criteria in my mind.