I will try to answer as many questions as I can without revealing identifying information.
I'm applying for ML PhDs for Fall 2026.
My top 4 choices currently (unordered): MIT, NYU, Stanford, UC Berkeley.
I go to a top 10 CS school for undergrad.
I have a near-perfect-to-perfect GPA.
I have >0 publications in my subfield of ML.
I have applied to every school that is listed as an option and not received any decisions yet.
Update 1 (2025/12/23): I have an interview for UT Austin!
Update 2 (2026/01/01): Harvard interview!
Update 3 (2026/01/11): NYU interview!
Update 4 (2026/02/04): Caltech interview!
Related Market: https://manifold.markets/anonanon/which-grad-schools-will-i-get-accep
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,197 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,534 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1,191 | |
| 4 | Ṁ366 | |
| 5 | Ṁ87 |
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@prismatic I am very excited for grad school! Glad I could generate some excitement for you as well, that’s how it should be if one wants to go to grad school! Best of luck with applications!!
@anonanon lol my hopes are slightly tampened from this but ty for the kind words! https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/1c2x5mx/d_folks_here_have_no_idea_how_competitive_top_phd/
@prismatic tbh it is quite competitive -- I was kind of surprised how competitive it was and also think I learnt a lot in the application process itself
@anonanon Will CMU, Harvard, Stanford, UW be resolved NO now that you've been rejected from them?
@MarcoBazzaniOQdE but to answer your question for the mc, they can't because its a dependent market.