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MANIFOLD
Which party will win the Beaches—East York by-election?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ422
2027
85%
Liberal Party of Canada
3%
Conservative Party of Canada
10%
New Democratic Party
3%
Other

This market resolves to the political party of the winning candidate in the Beaches—East York federal by-election, triggered by Nate Erskine-Smith's resignation as a Member of Parliament. Resolution will be determined by the official results published by Elections Canada at https://elections.ca/ or a consensus of credible media sources. If there is a need for a recount, this market will not resolve until the results of the recount are official.

Close date is indicative only. As resolution is unlikely to be ambiguous, I may trade in this market.

Market context
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