MANIFOLD
Will I win a random Geoguessr game on Feb 28
26
Ṁ1kṀ18k
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
NO
6

On February 28th, 2026, I will play a single random no-move duel game on GeoGuessr against whoever I match with in my current league. The game will be live-streamed at 6pm AEDT ( 11pm PST Feb 27).

Current Stats (as of January 9th, 2026):

∙ League: Gold III

∙ Current Rating: 540

∙ Best Rating: 733

∙ Win Rate: 49.06%

∙ Games Played: 53

Resolution Criteria:

This market resolves YES if I win the match played on February 28th, and NO if I lose.

Profile Link:

https://www.geoguessr.com/user/5fdca451b8fe340001160b3b

Stream Link: youtube.com/@AmpleGuess

Additional Notes:

∙ The opponent will be randomly matched based on GeoGuessr’s standard matchmaking system

∙ Only the first game played during the stream after 6pm AEDT on Feb 28th counts for resolution

∙ If technical issues prevent the game from completing, I will play another match immediately after and use that result

∙ Updates on my rating/stats progress will be posted in the comments leading up to the match

  • Update 2026-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Stream Details:

    • Date/Time: 6pm AEDT (Feb 28) / 11pm PST (Feb 27)

    • Platform: youtube.com/@AmpleGuess

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Streaming for a bit before the big game! come join in 45mins (5:15pm AEDT) for some practice rounds

youtube.com/@AmpleGuess

@ampelmann LIVE!!

Practice stream in two hours (5pm AEDT) !! See my progress and place your bets

youtube.com/@AmpleGuess

@ampelmann Live!!

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 55% order

would anyone care for a wager

WHAT UP HOMIES!!

Stream will be at 6pm AEDT (Feb 28), 11pm PST (Feb 27)

I will go live from youtube.com/@AmpleGuess

BE THERE AND WATCH THE GEOMASTER DESTROY A RANDOM INDIVIDUAL. woooo !!

@ampelmann so hype

Update 18/01 - 22/01: Just been duelling people, no study

Update 17/01: blehhhhhrghhhhhh

UPDATE LEAGUE CHANGE: Now in Gold II and current rating 503, 46.27% win rate

Update 15/01 and 16/01: Still grinding bollards and have started on road lines. Also watching a bunch of rainbolt vids

Update 14/01: The bollard grind is back on. Next up: road lines

Update 09/01: I am grinding bollards

Update 10/01 : I have lost access to wifi and will be unable to grind bollards for a couple days

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