Will the Fed raise benchmark rates by 50bps in September?
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resolved Sep 22
Resolved
NO

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/17/fed-minutes-july-2022-.html

"Though the Fed took the unprecedented steps of hiking three-quarters of a point at successive meetings, markets have been in rally mode lately on hopes that the central bank might soften the pace of increases heading into the fall."

Skipping an August meeting, having met in late July, the Fed's next scheduled monetary policy meeting takes place on September 20-21

Last Months Question: https://manifold.markets/akhil/will-the-fed-raise-benchmark-rates

Aug 19, 4:25pm:

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predicted YES

For November:

Will this only resolve YES if the Fed raises rates by 50bps? That is, would a 75bps rate hike would lead to a NO?

@Treldman correct, a 75bps hike would resolve in a NO. The hike must be exactly 50bps