Will Manifold add a Poll + Poll Outcome Prediction combo question type?

Question

People are already doing this by asking for YES/NO comments, while the market itself is about the outcome of the POLL. When folks start overloading and using features a certain way, that usually means it's something the product organism evolves into.

It's also a way to partially decouple true beliefs from participating in a Keynesian beauty contest - assuming there are enough participants where your own poll response does not significantly change the poll outcome. While I guess the best strategy would still be to answer both in the same direction, I'm assuming most people wouldn't really act that way? Who knows.

Also the betting arrows with the fixed M$10 have essentially made Yes/No questions into something resembling polls.

Will Manifold implement something like this combo before July 1st, 2022?

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jul 1, 2022 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ82
2		Ṁ40
3		Ṁ15
4		Ṁ2
5		Ṁ1

🏅 Top traders

Related questions