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Will the Inflation Reduction Act be repealed in 2025?
7
1kṀ15452026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the majority of the allocated funds are repealed
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ChatGPT o1 says that ~60% of the benefits go to red areas. “Quantifying exactly how much of the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) economic benefit will flow to “red” (Republican-leaning) versus “blue” (Democratic-leaning) areas is imprecise at this early stage. However, based on publicly announced manufacturing and energy-project investments—especially in battery and EV plants, solar manufacturing, and hydrogen/carbon-capture facilities—a reasonable estimate is that around 60% (give or take 5–10 percentage points) of the direct investment is going into Republican-voting states or counties.”
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