Will Israeli tanks enter Lebanon before the end of the month?

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resolved Aug 2

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The Sentinel team estimates that the chance that at least three Israeli tanks will have rolled into Lebanon by the end of August is 65% (range, 58% to 70%).

This market resolves Yes if 3 tanks roll into Lebanon by the end of July.

I won’t bet on this market.

Israel

Arab-Israeli Conflict

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Lebanon

Hezbollah

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@ahalekelly should resolve NO

End of July meaning August 1st 12:00 AM UTC+3 (Israel Daylight Saving Time/Eastern European Summer Time)? Or are you using UTC time or EDT or PDT or something else

Makes sense that it would be Israeli time but good question

@ahalekelly the date is approaching, can you clarify the timezone?

Yeah I’ll use Israeli time

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