
I will walk into a grocery store US at the end of 2030 and calculate the average price of products that contain >50% cultured meat in 2024 inflation adjusted dollars. If I am unable to buy cultured meat in the US then all answers resolve No.
All answers resolve independently.
I will not bet on this market.
I will pick whatever local grocery store has the best cultured meat selection. If I'm not in the US I may delegate to someone or try to find pricing online.
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I’m concerned that the most likely outcome is that of cultured meat is available, it’ll be significantly less than 50% actual cultured cells by weight.
If it’s going to work at scale, scaffolding will need to be a huge part of the product
@DavidFWatson interesting, I don’t know much about the field, do you have any reading recommendations?
@ahalekelly I just remember reading it, but can’t find the reference. Googling I found this
https://gfi.org/science/the-science-of-cultivated-meat/deep-dive-cultivated-meat-scaffolding/
But it’s too technical for me to make heads or tails of.
What I know though, is that there’s gonna have to be some scaffolding, and the more scaffolding, the cheaper the product. Growing this stuff is gonna be expensive, even at scale, and you can optimize the cells to try to get more flavor out of them, allowing you to use less cultured cells and more filler/scaffolding
@DavidFWatson Thanks, but that article was too technical for me as well. This one was pretty helpful for my understanding:
@ahalekelly That article is saying 10-20% by mass, definitely points to “no” across the board
Question, in the unlikely event that by the end of 2030 the US is no longer a country yet the new country it has become you can buy cultured meat will you still resolve all the answers as No?