Rank the options!
3
Ṁ100Ṁ8.7kresolved Sep 14
ResolvedN/A
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
1
34%
2
30%
3
22%
4
Whichever option closes 1st highest resolves YES, 2nd highest 75%, 3rd highest 25%, 4th highest resolves No
Ripping off @121 's question
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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yo what... these probabilities sum to 100% no matter what... so if they resolve like that it's guaranteed 100% profit... @agi202something
is this the case?!?!?!?!
@bobalobascrob Not quite. You profit if you buy shares such that you don't over/undershoot where it resolves. If you believe an answer will resolve 50%, and it currently sits at 75%, you will profit from buying NO to 50%, but overshooting it and going past that will start netting a loss of mana for shares bought past that point.