i'm not betting on this market
if ChatGPT stops existing as a product => N/A
resolves based on state at market close time. if answer becomes "yes", that doesn't immediately trigger resolution. if, say, openai deploys this in August but rolls it back in September, and it stays off by 2024-10-01, that's a "no".
Video has to be generated from an OpenAI model. Not via calling an external API with code execution.
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@agentydragon what if it's partially rolled out, is that enough? I.e. if they've stated that some alpha or beta version is available beyond OpenAI employees and partners, also "normal" users.
Video is the logical next step after DALL-E. Pika and Runway can already generate like 5 seconds or something of video, imagine what the current top leader combined with the gigantic financial and technological support from Microsoft could do. ~10 months from now is a long time in the current technological timescale.
https://sites.research.google/videopoet/
VideoPoet is a simple modeling method that can convert any autoregressive language model or large language model (LLM) into a high-quality video generator.