[SHORT FUSE] Washington state ballot initiative 645 (repealing the "millionaire tax") passes?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ220Nov 4
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if Washington Initiative Measure No. 645 (IP26-645) is approved by voters in the November 3, 2026 general election.
The primary resolution source will be the official certified election results published by the Washington Secretary of State.
Background
Initiative 645 qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot as an Initiative to the People. The measure seeks to repeal the 9.9% tax on individual and household income exceeding $1 million, which was established by the Washington State Legislature during the 2026 legislative session under Engrossed Substitute Senate Bill 6346. Additionally, Initiative 645 would prohibit the state and local governments from levying taxes on personal income or taxes measured by individual income.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?
15% chance
California Voter ID ballot proposition passes?
13% chance
Will Washington Initiative IP26-645 (income tax repeal and prohibition) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
22% chance
Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
24% chance
Will the Washington Millionaires' Tax hold up?
46% chance