Will GPT-4's parameter count be announced by the end of 2023?
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if OpenAI officially communicates the total parameter count of GPT-4 by the end of 2023 (e.g. by 11:59PM PST on December 31, 2023). For the purpose of avoiding edge cases in judging, leaks will not count as announcements.
For clarification (and parity with https://manifold.markets/nmehndir/will-gpt4s-parameter-count-be-publi), two significant figures are necessary.
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ada
BTW -- I put a reminder in my calendar for Dec 31. I hope I will not forget to update this if and when an announcement is made, but at the very least I will be sure to resolve it at the end of the year.
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nmehndir
Will GPT-4's parameter count be publicly announced by the end of March?
Embedded Agent
Will GPT-4 have over 1 trillion parameters?
Andrew Conner
How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
Justin Torre
How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
Victor Li
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
Marcus Abramovitch
Will GPT-5 be released before December 31st, 2023?
Bionic
Will I be able to use base GPT-4 at any time in 2023?
Gigacasting
Will GPT-4 exceed chatGPT interest? (2023)
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before June 2024?
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before July 2024?
nmehndir
Will GPT-4's parameter count be publicly announced by the end of March?
Embedded Agent
Will GPT-4 have over 1 trillion parameters?
Andrew Conner
How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
Justin Torre
How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
Victor Li
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
Marcus Abramovitch
Will GPT-5 be released before December 31st, 2023?
Bionic
Will I be able to use base GPT-4 at any time in 2023?
Gigacasting
Will GPT-4 exceed chatGPT interest? (2023)
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before June 2024?
Isaac King
Will GPT-5 be released before July 2024?