Jeremy Rockliff II Tasman Premiership prop bets (2025-next election)
2
225Ṁ238Dec 31
87%
Another early state election before 2029
83%
VONC called
59%
VONC succeeds (Rockliff ousted)
48%
Liberals form supply and confidence agreement in support of Rockliff
40%
Labor forms government/Labor MP holds Premiership at any point
34%
Another early state election within 1 year
31%
Liberals form coalition agreement in support of Rockliff
24%
Rockliff leads minority government for at least 1 year
4%
Labor-Green formal coalition in government (with or without formal independent support)
Liberal Jeremy Rockliff has been reappointed Premier of Tasmania following the 2025 Tasmanian state election. This election, called after just 1 year followed his ousting by a Labor-backed Vote of No Confidence, supported also by 5 Green MPs and 2 of the 5 Independent MPs. Overall parliamentary composition remained very similar, and with no party having been able to form a majority government so far the governor appointed Rockliff, who will have ~2 weeks to form government or face a potential VONC from Labor.
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