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MANIFOLD
2026 AFL match betting
12
Ṁ1.6kṀ8k
resolved Jul 12
Resolved
YES
[Round 0] Sydney to defeat Carlton
Resolved
YES
[Round 0] Gold Coast to defeat Geelong
Resolved
YES
[Round 0] GWS to defeat Hawthorn
Resolved
NO
[Round 0] Brisbane to defeat the Bulldogs
Resolved
NO
[Round 0] St Kilda to defeat Collingwood
Resolved
YES
[Round 1] Carlton to defeat Richmond
Resolved
NO
[Round 1] Essendon to defeat Hawthorn
Resolved
YES
[Round 1] Bulldogs to defeat GWS
Resolved
YES
[Round 1] Geelong to defeat Fremantle
Resolved
YES
[Round 1] Sydney to defeat Brisbane
Resolved
NO
[Round 1] Collingwood to defeat Adelaide
Resolved
YES
[Round 1] North Melbourne to defeat Port Adelaide
Resolved
YES
[Round 1] Melbourne to defeat St Kilda
Resolved
YES
[Round 1] Gold Coast to defeat West Coast
Resolved
YES
[Round 2] Hawthorn to defeat Sydney
Resolved
NO
[Round 2] Adelaide to defeat Bulldogs
Resolved
YES
[Round 3] Collingwood to defeat GWS
Resolved
NO
[Round 3] Carlton to defeat Melbourne
Resolved
YES
[Round 4] Brisbane to defeat Collingwood
Resolved
YES
[Round 4] North Melbourne to defeat Carlton

Resolution criteria

Each option in this market will resolve YES if the designated home team defeats the designated away team in the stated round. Each option will resolve NO if the designated away team wins or if the match is a draw.

An option may be voided if the match in question is cancelled or postponed to a later round. Options will not resolve to a percentage under any circumstances.

Further information

As stated in the resolution criteria, an option resolves NO in the event of a draw.

I will trade in this market.

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@traders special offer for Round 11: place a bet on any match before it starts and I'll refund you up to 20 mana if you lose. You can claim this on as many of the nine games as you wish, just remember to place your bets before the first ball-up.

As usual, I'm putting limit orders up in these markets too:

bought Ṁ10 NO

@a_l_e_x this is a good deal! just put 20 on the long sides of all the bets. Ta

@traders limit orders are up for Anzac Round

I also have limit orders up here:

/a_l_e_x/2026-afl-premiership-winner

/Zacd/2026-afl-wooden-spoon-winner

Limit orders are up for the 5 games this week that might clear the bar of being remotely interesting

@traders I've put my limit orders up for the next 9 games as well as in these markets:

opened a Ṁ1,200 NO at 51% order

Limit orders are up for Round 2. I'm thinking of only doing Thursday/Friday/marquee games from now on as these seem to attract the most trades. Other games can be added upon request

Excited for Geelong vs Gold Coast, I think the Suns will be unbeatable with Rowell back, and tonight they should prevail anyway because Cats are without their stars. Will be great to see Ollie Dempsey rolling along the wings and Oisin Mullin through the middle. Two players just starting their prime years, huge upside from those two.

@traders big limit orders up for Opening Round