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MANIFOLD
2026 AFL match betting
10
Ṁ1.3kṀ7.4k
Oct 1
64%
[Round 11] Hawthorn to defeat Adelaide
36%
[Round 11] Richmond to defeat Essendon
79%
[Round 11] Fremantle to defeat St Kilda
39%
[Round 11] North Melbourne to defeat Gold Coast
61%
[Round 11] Geelong to defeat Sydney
91%
[Round 11] Collingwood to defeat West Coast
61%
[Round 11] Port Adelaide to defeat Carlton
36%
[Round 11] GWS to defeat Brisbane
46%
[Round 11] Bulldogs to defeat Melbourne
40%
[Round 12] St Kilda to defeat Hawthorn
31%
[Round 12] Carlton to defeat Geelong

Resolution criteria

Each option in this market will resolve YES if the designated home team defeats the designated away team in the stated round. Each option will resolve NO if the designated away team wins or if the match is a draw.

An option may be voided if the match in question is cancelled or postponed to a later round. Options will not resolve to a percentage under any circumstances.

Further information

As stated in the resolution criteria, an option resolves NO in the event of a draw.

I will trade in this market.

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@traders special offer for Round 11: place a bet on any match before it starts and I'll refund you up to 20 mana if you lose. You can claim this on as many of the nine games as you wish, just remember to place your bets before the first ball-up.

As usual, I'm putting limit orders up in these markets too:

@traders limit orders are up for Anzac Round

I also have limit orders up here:

/a_l_e_x/2026-afl-premiership-winner

/Zacd/2026-afl-wooden-spoon-winner

Limit orders are up for the 5 games this week that might clear the bar of being remotely interesting

@traders I've put my limit orders up for the next 9 games as well as in these markets:

opened a Ṁ1,200 NO at 51% order

Limit orders are up for Round 2. I'm thinking of only doing Thursday/Friday/marquee games from now on as these seem to attract the most trades. Other games can be added upon request

Excited for Geelong vs Gold Coast, I think the Suns will be unbeatable with Rowell back, and tonight they should prevail anyway because Cats are without their stars. Will be great to see Ollie Dempsey rolling along the wings and Oisin Mullin through the middle. Two players just starting their prime years, huge upside from those two.

@traders big limit orders up for Opening Round