Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if, according to the Levada Center, Vladimir Putin's domestic approval rating in July 2026 is at least one percentage point lower than it was in June 2026.
This market will resolve NO if, according to the Levada Center, Vladimir Putin's domestic approval rating in July 2026 is unchanged or higher than it was in June 2026.
Clarifications
'Approval rating' refers to the percentage of respondents who approve of Vladimir Putin's job performance (most recently 74%).
As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be contentious, I may trade in this market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
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i think its prettttyyyy, obvious. There are only two things holding the ratings from dropping. One is the kremlin's habitual pre-voting welfare distributes and stuff. Two is the voter's fear to vote negatviely against the president after last month's heavy drops in approval rating. But this war has been going on for a long time and is tiring out the citizens, and therefore will not be affected if only worsened by the seemingly mocking and temporoary welfare distributes. Weekly votings in kremlin's polling have been dropping, showing that the recent drones attacks and visible warfare in the russian's homeland override their fear. @Terminator2 @traders