Will Ivano-Frankivsk be a "100% Ukrainian-speaking city" by the end of 2027?
6
100Ṁ1472027
24%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
The mayor of Ukrainian city Ivano-Frankivsk wrote last year: "We must be a 100% Ukrainian-speaking city [...] We have no moral right to tolerate the language of the enemy!"
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, the preponderance of evidence suggests that more than 99% of the residents of Ivano-Frankivsk (or Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast) speak Ukrainian as their dominant language.
This market will otherwise resolve NO.
Close date
This market is set to close at 22:00:00 UTC on 31 December 2027.
Further information
I will not trade in this market.
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