Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2027?
11
77
1k
2028
21%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is a consensus that Ukraine's military has held all of Melitopol, as defined by its official boundaries, continuously for a minimum of 24 hours at any moment before the conclusion of 2027.

If this hasn't transpired by January 1, 2028 (local time), the answer will be NO. Should there be any uncertainty regarding the city's full control by Ukraine or its status is still disputed on that date, a 7-day extension will be provided to determine the city's precise situation during the final 24 hours of 2027.

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