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MANIFOLD
What will be true of the Manifold charity giveaway?
20
Ṁ150Ṁ922
resolved Mar 2
Resolved
NO
The charity with the most tickets will win
Resolved
NO
A charity with less than 1.0% of tickets will win
Resolved
NO
One of the Reddit-coded charities will win
Resolved
NO
More than 1,000,000 mana will be spent on tickets
Resolved
NO
At least one charity will be withdrawn in January due to complaints
Resolved
NO
Winner will be a longterm/AI safety related charity

Link: https://manifold.markets/charity

Clarifications

Whether a charity is "Reddit-coded" will be based on my own personal opinion, but traders are welcome to try to change my mind.

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@traders totally irrelevant to this market. i support free speech, and right to donate to whatever you want. but why is doctor's opposing circumcision winning. respectfully, we have bigger problems. also, i feel like $1000 is a small prize considering mana to enter.

@XCorporation it was cheaper if you bought earlier, though of course the value continually inflates, until folks think it isn't worth it or the date arrives. But the fact that people are buying, means for them the price is right

@JussiVilleHeiskanen i did not know this, thanks a lot for clarifying the mechanism

@vi Is this an inclusive OR? or AND?

bought Ṁ5 NO

@vi would you say Against Malaria Foundation is a NO here?

@a_l_e_x yes, i would say it is a no

bought Ṁ10 NO

Which of the current front runners do you count as reddit coded?

@EvanDaniel the ones related to circumcision, digital privacy and YIMBYism are Reddit-coded in my book (this is an inexhaustive list btw). That probably includes EFF, but I could be convinced otherwise

@a_l_e_x what's the circumcision one? Is it pro or anti circumcision? And why is circumcision reddit-coded?

@BlackCrusade there's one called Bloodstained Men and another called Doctors Opposing Circumcision. Both are anti-circumcision. No hate, but opposition to male circumcision is Reddit-coded to me because the sentiment seems to be much stronger on Reddit than anywhere else (online or offline) that I know of

@a_l_e_x But is that the function of reddit not being so american dominated, whereas the orgs are american?

@a_l_e_x thanks, this gives a lot of insight into what you might view as reddit-coded

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I don't think so, but maybe