I will not bet on this market. Start time of grading will be added to this market as soon as possible. All times in PDT. Grading commenced at 8pm. Update 2026-05-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Every option after the finish time will resolve YES.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 11pm, followed by 12pm and 1am or later are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of May 30, 2026).

When will ARML 2026 power grading finish at Reno?

MANIFOLD

When will ARML 2026 power grading finish at Reno?

Ṁ150Ṁ899

in 19 hours

0.9%

8pm

9pm

0.9%

10pm

54%

11pm

24%

12pm

19%

1am or later

I will not bet on this market. Start time of grading will be added to this market as soon as possible. All times in PDT.

Grading commenced at 8pm.

Update 2026-05-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Every option after the finish time will resolve YES.

Market context

ARML

LLMs

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1,000

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bought Ṁ267 NO

@a_clown The resolution criteria is not clear here. Is it that every option resolves YES iff grading finishes before the displayed time, or does one option resolve YES based on when grading finishes?