Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of kids in 2030?
Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of kids in 2030?
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I know this is a broad question and lots of stuff needs to be defined better for a resolution. This question arises from someone's comment on whether keyboards will still be around in 10 years and only used by hippies, after seeing the latest chatGPT voice module.
Kids = under 12s
majority = in the US and europe
computers = murky; the primary device
keyboard = can be real or virtual (on-screen, or ... virtual, like in headsets)
Help me operationalize a better resolution criteria in the spirit of the question!
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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