Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of adults in 2030?

Question

I know this is a broad question and lots of stuff needs to be defined better for a resolution. This question arises from someone's comment on whether keyboards will still be around in 10 years and only used by hippies, after seeing the latest chatGPT voice module.

majority = in the US and europe

computers = murky; the primary device

keyboard = can be real or virtual (on-screen, or ... virtual, like in headsets)

Help me operationalize a better resolution criteria in the spirit of the question!

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 89% chance (12 traders, as of Oct 7, 2026).