Will any of the Manifold founders go on Shark Tank or Dragon's Den before 2026?
7
27
Ṁ473Ṁ150
2026
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To be clear, this is about the founders going to the show, not about pitching Manifold on the show, though they can. This market will also accept it if they go but their pitch does not make production release.
(James pitching Manifold dating would count, as an example)
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a lawsuit involve Manifold before 2028?
56% chance
Will Manifold announce they intend to shut down before 2025?
8% chance
Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2024?
49% chance
Will any Manifold founder go on the Lex Fridman podcast before 2026?
40% chance
Will Manifold be forced to let go of any employees due to funding constraints by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will Manifold give prominent community members equity in Manifold by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
78% chance
Will Martin Shkreli join Manifold before 2025?
42% chance
Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
49% chance
Will a lawsuit involve Manifold before 2027?
36% chance