(personal) will i do 15 pomodoros of study (other than work) today?
(personal) will i do 15 pomodoros of study (other than work) today?
3
70Ṁ17resolved Apr 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will only buy YES.
Experimenting sustained long focus while doing meaningful deep work. Most of these pomoz will be back to back with 5 min breaks in b/w.
This is study done before and after my work/job.
Gonna stream on twitch.
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predictedYES 2y
No. Relatively unproductive day. Wasted time on the WvM market. Going to stay off of manifold for 1 week after the WvM resolution, regardless of resolution
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Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.