If we ever make contact with extraterrestrial life, would the first contact be on Earth?
Plus
15
Ṁ4042110
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
If I line of free credit I would bet this down to 1% or less. The chance that aliens wipe out humanity
OR we can only communicate with aliens but not visit them except on crazy long timescales
OR we detect aliens and find a way to safely make contact at arms reach
OR we find aliens and zap them before they detect us
together make up more than 99%, imo
@FranklinBaldo No, communication isn't enough for first contact here, though I can see and probably make a good case for why it should.
bought Ṁ10 NO from 61% to 55%
Related questions
Related questions
Will first contact with extraterrestrial life be initiated by Earthlings?
40% chance
Will we detect extraterrestrial intelligent life in the universe by 2124?
31% chance
Where will the first-known extraterrestrial life come from?
Conditional on us making contact with intelligent extraterrestrial life, how many light years away is it from Earth?
190
will humanity make contact with another intelligent life form / civilisation?
73% chance
Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?
30% chance
Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?
39% chance
Will the first intelligent extraterrestrial that humanity encounters have what would be commonly described as eyes?
60% chance
When will alien life be first discovered?
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
26% chance