If Sam Altman returns to OpenAI, would he join as the CEO?
If Sam Altman returns to OpenAI, would he join as the CEO?
34
650Ṁ5504resolved Nov 30
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Only counts the role he is given upon joining openAI full time.
Resolves No if he joins as a consultant, as CTO, or any other role not CEO. If they do away with the CEO role altogether, then N/A
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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