Gpt-5 >=91% on MMLU?

1kṀ2615

Dec 31

88%

chance

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GPT-5 Speculation

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Gpt-5 >=95% on MMLU?

3% chance

Will GPT-5 exceed 70% on WebArena?

63% chance

Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard

Will GPT-5 ace exams?

77% chance

Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?

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This tells us that MMLU is too easy. Someone make a Ph.D. version of it

@Sss19971997 it already exists: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.12022

predictedYES

Market's closing in a month with no sign of Gpt-5. @firstuserhere can you extend?

bunch of mmlu questions

gemini gets 90% on MMLU, so...

@TheBayesian wait what? share the link? i've not yet looked at it

GPT-4 can probably beat 91% with proper prompt engineering.

I have heard someone already did it using a combination of GPT-4 and some other model

People are also trading

Gpt-5 >=95% on MMLU?

3% chance

Will GPT-5 exceed 70% on WebArena?

63% chance

Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard

Will GPT-5 ace exams?

77% chance

Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?

1% chance

GPT-5: >175 LSAT

74% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

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