Gpt-5 >=91% on MMLU? | Manifold

Gpt-5 >=91% on MMLU?

#GPT-5 Speculation

41

254

Ṁ2.6k

Ṁ1k

Dec 31

88%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get Ṁ600 play money

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This tells us that MMLU is too easy. Someone make a Ph.D. version of it

@Sss19971997 it already exists: https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.12022

predicts YES

Market's closing in a month with no sign of Gpt-5. @firstuserhere can you extend?

bunch of mmlu questions

bought Ṁ10 of YES

gemini gets 90% on MMLU, so...

@TheBayesian wait what? share the link? i've not yet looked at it

GPT-4 can probably beat 91% with proper prompt engineering.

bought Ṁ2 of YES

I have heard someone already did it using a combination of GPT-4 and some other model

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Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

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