Will Zvi Mowshowitz win at least $5k from the EA Criticism and Red Teaming Contest?
29
100Ṁ6367resolved Oct 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
The contest is announced here: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8hvmvrgcxJJ2pYR4X/announcing-a-contest-ea-criticism-and-red-teaming.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ107 | |
2 | Ṁ97 | |
3 | Ṁ64 | |
4 | Ṁ27 | |
5 | Ṁ24 |
Sort by:
predictedYES 2y
Wonder how I should update on Effective Altruism as a whole from this resolution. Will read the winning prizes, to see if any are paradigmatic enough
My entry won an honorable mention, which counts as NO. Given the other prizes awarded, it seems it would have taken a lot to get a bigger prize.
Maybe I'm overestimating how fruitful this contest will be, but Zvi's entry feels more like an Honorable Mention to me. Is it more agreeing or disagreeing with the content of the post to think the post will win less money?
predictedYES 2y
Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
93% chance
If I run another Manifold MTG tournament, will Zvi enter?
20% chance
[Criticism and Red Teaming Contest] Did Manifold's top 15 identify more winners than EA Forum karma?
56% chance
[Criticism and Red Teaming Contest] Did Manifold's top 30 identify more winners than EA Forum karma?
56% chance
Which of these writing accomplishments will Zvi Mowshowitz achieve in 2025?
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?
72% chance
Will Zvi Mowshowitz ever eat his real hat?
29% chance