Which of these writing accomplishments will Zvi Mowshowitz achieve in 2025?
Which of these writing accomplishments will Zvi Mowshowitz achieve in 2025?
6
1kṀ13612026
63%
5 Childhood and Education Posts (C&E#12 is published)
59%
52 Weekly AI Posts (AI#148 is published)
59%
12 Monthly Roundups (Monthly Roundup #37 is published)
50%
5 Writing Posts (On Writing #5 is published)
41%
5 Medical Roundups (Medical Roundup #8 is published)
37%
10 Childhood and Education Posts (C&E#17 is published)
37%
Publishes a comprehensive review of the EU AI Act
33%
Reviews Open Socrates by Agnes Callard
31%
Reviews Abundance by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson
Resolved
YES25 Weekly AI Posts (AI#121 is published)
@ZviMowshowitz never made a new 2025 market based on his 2024 writing accomplishments market (https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/which-of-these-writing-accomplishme) so I thought I would.
I am not Zvi, so I'm keeping these to things that are easily resolvable by looking at his public posts with similar resolution criteria to the previous market.
Anyone can add options, but I will N/A if it is very annoying or too complicated to resolve myself. The only exception to this is if Zvi himself wants to add options. In that case, I will resolve in favor of his determination as evidenced by a comment on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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