Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?
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Claim is here: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-05-21/ai-safety-is-dead-and-chuck-schumer-faces-risks?utm_content=view&utm_medium=social&cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-view&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_source=twitter, entitled 'The AI safety movement is dead.'

"May 2024 will be remembered as the month that the AI safety movement died. It will also be remembered as the time when the work of actually making artificial intelligence safer began in earnest."

Resolves to YES if this view holds up as of the deadline (or, given lack of loans, if we are confident that it will hold up and this consistently trades 'at the interest rate' on the high end for over a month).

Resolves to NO if this view does not hold up as of the deadline (or, given lack of loans, if we are confident it will NOT hold up and this consistently trades 'at the interest rate' on the low end for over a month, or if we have sufficiently strong accomplishments to show that the statement is already shown to be false.)

I expect the answer to this to be obvious and want to be able to make markets here without large time commitments, so I will only spend time clarifying terms if there is large market activity and the probability of uncertainty seems substantial.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Wow, the article came out 1 week before the AI safety heads resigned. Tbh, it held up as much as it could've

AI safety experts thow away millions in equity to have AI safety taken more seriously.

Article is paywalled, so I can't understand his exact claim from this description.

Hilarious to say this on the day the AI safety summit begins in Seoul (and without even mentioning it)

If anyone is left to remember it 😂