Will a replicating AI take over the Replit cloud by EOY 24?
56
752
Ṁ3.6KṀ1.1K
2025
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ1
Ṁ10
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ165 +1559.9%
New probability
6%
As per their CEO Amjad Masad here (https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1670473919504220160): "There is a non-zero chance BabyAGI will self-replicate inside Replit and take over our cloud. If it happens it happens."
This market resolves to YES if, by 1 Jan 2025, we learn that some AI program self-replicated inside Replit sufficiently to actually substantially inconvenience Replit users. If it is unclear whether this happened, a Twitter poll or similar will be used to adjudicate.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
39% chance
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before March 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M subsidy added]
59% chance
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
51% chance
Will we have better-than-human-aggregate forecasting AIs by the end of 2024?
14% chance