Will a replicating AI take over the Replit cloud by EOY 24?
Plus
78
Ṁ6478Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As per their CEO Amjad Masad here (https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1670473919504220160): "There is a non-zero chance BabyAGI will self-replicate inside Replit and take over our cloud. If it happens it happens."
This market resolves to YES if, by 1 Jan 2025, we learn that some AI program self-replicated inside Replit sufficiently to actually substantially inconvenience Replit users. If it is unclear whether this happened, a Twitter poll or similar will be used to adjudicate.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By 2029, will an AI escape containment?
47% chance
Will Inflection AI still exist EOY 2025?
54% chance
By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?
36% chance
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
24% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
41% chance
Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?
15% chance
Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?
57% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will Replit cease operations by 2028?
17% chance