How will ZorbaTHut choose to continue The Motte?

The Motte is a nephew of Astral Codex Ten, dedicated towards being "a working discussion ground for people who may hold dramatically different beliefs", currently hosted on Reddit and led by me. It is likely moving off Reddit in the moderately near future. See https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/uaoyng/meta_like_rationalists_leaving_a/ for more context. This is a market that resolves based on a future decision of mine. I've included all the options I'm currently considering. If I end up choosing something other than those options, I'll pick the answer that seems closest if there is a sufficiently close one, or N/A otherwise. I don't think it's possible to formalize this resolution further; you'll just have to trust me. I encourage you to attempt to influence my decision! But you should probably do it in the above link. I have individual markets for the success of each option, if taken. The success of those markets will likely influence the outcome of this one. Check https://manifold.markets/tag/themotte_leaving for a list (though it's annoyingly hard to list all of them.) Okay the tag view is actually annoyingly glitchy. Here's the individual markets: Option 1: https://manifold.markets/ZorbaTHut/conditional-on-the-motte-staying-on Option 2: https://manifold.markets/ZorbaTHut/conditional-on-the-motte-staying-on-d3d4e0c5a4bf Option 3: https://manifold.markets/ZorbaTHut/conditional-on-the-motte-moving-to Option 4: https://manifold.markets/ZorbaTHut/conditional-on-the-motte-moving-to-2d8d49de84da Option 5: https://manifold.markets/ZorbaTHut/conditional-on-the-motte-moving-to-d418485476cd Option 6: https://manifold.markets/ZorbaTHut/conditional-on-the-motte-moving-to-ee34c94728f9 Option 7: https://manifold.markets/ZorbaTHut/conditional-on-the-motte-moving-to-991cae37688e Apr 24, 2:53am: Someone on the main thread has suggested moving onto a non-Tildes codebase with plans to reimplement it later; I'm lumping that general category of idea into Option 7 (honestly I shouldn't have specified the codebase there, mea culpa.) Apr 24, 1:21pm: More option updates: I'm broadening Option 4 into "Self-Hosted Non-Federated Site", including LessWrong and a site I am not willing to name while being linked directly from Reddit, and Option 5 into "Self-Hosted Federated Site", including Brutalinks. Yeah I know I'm playing kind of fast and loose with this, but hey, as long as nobody's making their own answers for these things, I'm gonna try to keep it together.

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ190
2		Ṁ155
3		Ṁ75
4		Ṁ23

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