Will Madame Web's opening weekend gross (in millions) be larger than points scored by the KC Chiefs in the Super Bowl?
Basic
6
Ṁ2891
resolved Feb 21
Resolved
NO

Explanation:

  • The domestic opening weekend gross will be defined using the "Domestic Opening" listed by BoxOfficeMojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1379697409/.

  • For example, "Morbius" currently lists a domestic opening of $39,005,895, and thus its number for comparison would be 39.005895 (million). Thus, it would be lower than the 49 points scored by the 49ers in Super Bowl XXIX, but larger than the 26 points scored by the Chargers.

Other details:

  • I will use the full precision of the listed gross on BoxOfficeMojo (i.e. when I convert to "millions", I will include decimals). Thus, in the Morbius example, it would be considered larger than exactly 39 points scored in the Super Bowl, but smaller than 40. (Although there's no guarantee on how precise that listed gross will be).

  • Note again that this is the domestic opening, not worldwide. That's standard for most reporting, but you'll occasionally see the WW number reported in the press as well.

  • For context, AFAIK, typically that "Domestic Opening" number on BoxOfficeMojo is the 3-day total (plus Thursday/other "previews") for North America. But that's my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution. I will use the "Domestic Opening" number actually listed, however it is computed.

  • If any aspects of the resolution criteria are unclear, please ask (or if you think I've made a mistake in any of the write-up).

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,290 NO

The BoxOfficeMojo dailies are no longer highlighted as estimates. The total is $15.3M. This is less than the 25 points the Chiefs scored at the Super Bowl. This resolves NO

The Chiefs scored 25 points. This market will resolve YES if Madame Web grosses >$25M.

I like these more creative movie versus questions!

predictedNO

@mattyb February is such a dead month for movies (& that's basically all I play on Manifold, RIP), so I figured I'd throw out some new question types and see if anything sticks. Anything to drum up some action lol

predictedNO

@Ziddletwix yea, I got a few things but this is generally the movie dumping ground. I’m just pitting trash against trash (to never miss some free pr, attached a few below 😉)

We got Argylle weekend 2 vs. Lisa Frankenstein next weekend, two completely forgettable and bad movies

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules