These options resolve YES if Donald Trump says the exact sequence of words during his acceptance speech at the 2024 Republican National Convention.
This will follow the same rules as the Trump-isms Debate Megamarket—see the original market for more detailed resolution examples.
He has given two equivalent speeches previously: 2016 transcript, & 2020 transcript.
If such a speech does not occur by the end of August, all options N/A.
This market will likely close before the speech to recoup liquidity (although in 2016 it a draft leaked early).
You can add your own responses, but note (1) I intend to be strict with resolution (following the rules below), & (2) I reserve the right to edit all entries to better match the spirit of the market.
Resolution examples:
Needs to be exact same words (in order): "laughing at all of us" does not count for "laughing at us".
Needs to match tense & pluralization: "winnings" or "winner" do not count for "winning".
However, any punctuation is fine ("Billions! And billions..." counts for "billions and billions"), and contractions can count as the expanded words ("what's" is equivalent to "what is").
Different ways of transcribing the same word count: "January 6th" = "January sixth".
1,000
3.00@traders i resolved all others NO. Place your bets on what Biden will say in his dropout address:
@traders I resolved all the YES options that I could find, and plan to resolve the remaining options NO. But I'll wait a day, so that people can point out any that I might have missed! Thanks.
(Again, note the strict resolution criteria—"I am deeply honored" does not count for "I am honored" and etc. I was mostly using the transcript because this speech is extremely long, and the transcripts are not always perfectly accurate/consistent, so please call me out if there are any that I'm getting wrong).
Why close? It is annoying of you!!!
(also btw this market is open for submissions, so you can add them too, but i'm assuming you know that & are asking to save the mana which is totally fine/encouraged)
Former President Trump rewrites RNC speech to focus on unity following assassination attempt.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4772382-trump-speech-focuses-unity/