Manifold's favorite Manifest 2025 session?
13
1.6kṀ3515Jun 24
35%
Scott Alexander: Forecasting Transformative AI Using The Book Of Revelation
13%
Allison Duettmann- Decentralized AI
12%
Metadao
8%
History Lecture with Live Betting (Sovereign), by Michael Wheatley
8%
Weirdly priced markets with Jesse Richardson & Eric Neyman
7%
4%
Poker Tournament
2%
Nash Pit: A Prediction Market Game Show
1.7%
Big Manifold Awards Ceremony, by Ian Philips
1.6%
Manifold power user meetup
1.4%
Election betting debates of 2024: a retrospective
1.3%
David Shor & Jesse Richardson Q&A
1.3%
David Shor: data science & politics (with two substitute Davids filling in)
1.3%
Startup pitch competition
1.3%
Doom Debates: Liron vs. Everyone
1.1%
cremieux on autism
Resolves to a poll, created after market close, with the listed options (excluding "other") ranked in order by their final probability.
The poll will run for one week, and ties resolve proportionally.
Add your own options—they should be listed as a session on the Manifest schedule (i.e. not just "a fun thing that happened"), although you can tweak the official title to make it more clear if you'd like.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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