Manifold's favorite Manifest 2025 session?
23
1.7kṀ5757
Jun 24
86%
Scott Alexander: Forecasting Transformative AI Using The Book Of Revelation
2%
Other
1.8%
Allison Duettmann- Decentralized AI
1.5%
Joe carlsmith model welfare talk
1.4%
History Lecture with Live Betting (Sovereign), by Michael Wheatley
1.2%
Metadao
1.1%
Poker Tournament
  • Resolves to a poll, created after market close, with the listed options (excluding "other") ranked in order by their final probability.

  • The poll will run for one week, and ties resolve proportionally.

  • Add your own options—they should be listed as a session on the Manifest schedule (i.e. not just "a fun thing that happened"), although you can tweak the official title to make it more clear if you'd like.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@Ziddletwix Was this recorded? Now I want to see it, lol.

bought Ṁ500 YES

@Ziddletwix I'll bet more around 60% if you are interested

wait scratch that, 50% (edit: 55% limit order now for 1 hour)

opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 60% order

now 60%?!?!

See results.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy