Manifold's favorite Manifest 2025 session?
13
1.6kṀ3515
Jun 24
35%
Scott Alexander: Forecasting Transformative AI Using The Book Of Revelation
13%
Allison Duettmann- Decentralized AI
12%
Metadao
8%
History Lecture with Live Betting (Sovereign), by Michael Wheatley
8%
Weirdly priced markets with Jesse Richardson & Eric Neyman
7%
Other
4%
Poker Tournament
2%
Nash Pit: A Prediction Market Game Show
1.7%
Big Manifold Awards Ceremony, by Ian Philips
1.6%
Manifold power user meetup
1.4%
Election betting debates of 2024: a retrospective
1.3%
David Shor & Jesse Richardson Q&A
1.3%
David Shor: data science & politics (with two substitute Davids filling in)
1.3%
Startup pitch competition
1.3%
Doom Debates: Liron vs. Everyone
1.1%
cremieux on autism
  • Resolves to a poll, created after market close, with the listed options (excluding "other") ranked in order by their final probability.

  • The poll will run for one week, and ties resolve proportionally.

  • Add your own options—they should be listed as a session on the Manifest schedule (i.e. not just "a fun thing that happened"), although you can tweak the official title to make it more clear if you'd like.

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