How much will these movies gross during the weekend of April 26-28? [Challengers, Civil War, Dune, & more]
Basic
7
Ṁ4226
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO
Challengers : >$20 million
Resolved
YES
Dune: Part Two : >$2 million
Resolved
YES
Civil War : >$6 million
Resolved
YES
Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire : >$3.2 million
Resolved
YES
Kung Fu Panda 4 : >$3.5 million
Resolved
YES
Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire : >$5 million
Resolved
YES
Challengers : >$15 million

Source: BoxOfficeMojo domestic gross for the weekend of April 26 - 28.

  • Each option resolves YES if the listed movie grosses more than the listed amount during the weekend of April 26 - 28, according to BoxOfficeMojo.

  • You can add your own answers, but (1) please follow my exact formatting, and (2) I may N/A answers for any reason if I think it would clean up the market.

For context, here's the equivalent grosses from last weekend (April 19 - 21):

  • 1. Civil War - $11,127,752

  • 2. Abigail - $10,297,110

  • 3. Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire - $9,570,463

  • 4. The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare - $8,913,698

  • 5. Spy x Family Code: White - $4,824,993

  • 6. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $4,691,765

  • 7. Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $4,451,743

  • 8. Dune: Part Two - $2,947,767

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@traders actually, for kicks I decided to make a market just for "The Phantom Menace", to celebrate its strange re-release this weekend. Can it gross >$7.5M? (more than plenty of new movies open to these days lol)

/Ziddletwix/will-the-rerelease-of-star-wars-epi

@traders don't think i'll make a new version for this weekend—not much notable happening, so with liquidity subsidies removed i don't think weekly box office markets are worth the effort unless there's a movie with actual interest. so check out @mattyb 's market for THE FALL GUY's opening weekend (the only actually interesting bit this week)

/mattyb/how-much-money-will-the-fall-guy-20

bought Ṁ3 YES

lol some of my early over/under guesses this week were pretty solid, still can't bet em up or down much after the sunday estimates came in

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Ziddletwix yea, it’s incredible how on it you were. i’ll bet on the bolder side here, but it’s gonna be close as hell for these.

you left off all the newer movies though

sold Ṁ8 YES

@mattyb yeah it felt like these weren't getting much traction (& generally my interest in putting up in markets for everything is down a bit as we wait to see how the changes all shake out, since I do think there will be robust markets for the biggest movies but not the small ones any more), altho other ppl can add options to this one if they want. but yeah maybe slightly odd to add dune/kfp4 over the actual relevant new movies lol but that's to keep up the continuity for old times sake, i enjoy that i've been betting on dune every week for months lol

(this market format doesn't work as well as individual markets but these weekend markets for niche movies will go away with the pivot so it doesn't matter much either way. still, for no real reason, can't resist throwing a few last markets out there until they up the price lol)

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