How much will "Dune: Part Two" gross (domestic) during its 4th weekend (March 22-24)?
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11
12k
resolved Mar 26
Resolved
YES
>$15 million (~47% decrease)
Resolved
YES
>$17 million (~40% decrease)
Resolved
NO
>$19 million (~33% decrease)

Source: BoxOfficeMojo—specifically the "Domestic" and "Weekend" tabs.

  • For example, "Dune: Part Two" released on March 1st, and grossed $82,505,391 during its first (i.e. opening) weekend (March 1st - 3rd). Source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2024W09/?ref_=bo_wey_table_8.

  • This is the equivalent number I will use (the "Gross" column), but instead for the weekend of March 22nd - 24th (its second at the box office).

"Dune: Part Two" grossed:

  • $82,505,391 on its opening weekend.

  • $46,215,424 on its second weekend (a ~44% drop, but the first weekend includes previews).

  • $28,505,206 on its third weekend (a ~38% drop)

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@traders The actuals are in, resolving to $17,606,784.

Once more into the breach—I created a market for Dune's 5th weekend. (A multi-market felt a bit like overkill this time, and I figured I'd try a humble binary).

bought Ṁ1,250 >$17 million (~40% d... YES

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