"Dune: Part Two" (2024) opens on March 1st. This market will resolve based on the domestic total listed by BoxOfficeMojo through (and including) March 14th, 2024 (also known as "Pi Day"): https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl68715265/?ref_=bo_gr_rls.
For context, a similar market for "Dune" (2021) with end date November 4th (i.e. the second Thursday after release) would have total domestic gross of $76,326,162 (i.e. "Domestic Daily" tab, "To Date" column, and look at the row for the relevant end date). This is the equivalent number that I will use.
This market resolves YES if the number listed for "Dune: Part Two" on March 14th is greater than $200,000,000.
1,000
3.00
Actuals are in for March 14th, only $176M, resolves NO.
For more DUNE predictions, try this market for its 3rd weekend gross.