Will "Dune: Part Two" be #1 at the box office during its second weekend? (March 8-10, dueling "Kung Fu Panda 4")
Mini
39
28k
resolved Mar 11
Resolved
NO

"Dune: Part Two" releases on March 1st. Its second weekend is March 8th-10th, where it will battle the opening weekend for "Kung Fu Panda 4".

This market resolves YES if BoxOfficeMojo lists "Dune: Part Two" as the film with the highest domestic gross for the weekend of March 8th-10th.

  • I will use the "weekend" tab in BoxOfficeMojo to resolve this market.

  • For example "Dune" (2021) released on October 22nd, and in its second weekend at the box office (October 29-31), BoxOfficeMojo shows it at #1 (grossing $15,413,486), comfortably ahead of Halloween Kills at #2 (grossing $8,743,355). Link: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2021W44/?ref_=bo_rl_table_2. I will use this same source, but for the weekend of March 8-10.

Other details:

  • I will use the weekend gross posted by BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined.

  • For context, AFAIK typically the "weekend" is Friday/Saturday/Sunday, including Thursday previews for new releases, across all of North America. But that's just my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution—I will use their definition.

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ723
2Ṁ150
3Ṁ125
4Ṁ80
5Ṁ36
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20,000 NO

Actuals are in, and it wasn't close. Resolves NO

The Dune train doesn't stop just yet! Check out my market for the total domestic box office after two months (and I'll post another market for Dune's box office in its 3rd weekend soon)

bought Ṁ200 NO

Looks like this could be close. If you want to bet on the performance of "Dune: Part Two" directly, I made two markets for its second weekend gross: