"Dune: Part Two" (2024) opens on March 1st. These markets will resolve based on the worldwide total listed by BoxOfficeMojo when I check the site on May 1st https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/.
I will use the number listed on BoxOfficeMojo whenever I check the site on May 1st. That means it won't necessarily have updated to include all gross that occurred in the world prior to May 1st (I doubt it will have much impact, but a day or two could be missing from the total).
For comparison, the original "Dune" (2021) released on October 21st, and the Wayback Machine machine lists a "worldwide" gross of $401,847,900 on December 24th (as the 21st wasn't logged). This is the equivalent number I will cite. (This is very close to the current listed total, although Dune 2 could have longer legs).
These markets are independent—any number of them can resolve YES.
Once the listed WW box office passes a relevant threshold, I can resolve that market early (feel free to tag me).
I may add additional markets (above, below, or in between)—the questions are independent, so this has no impact on the current markets.
If somehow "Dune: Part Two" is delayed again (which I can't imagine it will), I'll update the question to again reflect "two months after the release date".
If any aspects of resolution are unclear, just ask.
See also:
1,000
3.00@traders final total: WORLDWIDE
$704,756,121. Thank you to Dune 2 for giving me such fun markets.
Check out more box office predictions for Deadpool 3
/Ziddletwix/which-mcu-movies-will-deadpool-wolv-c9ab9ac398f6
/Ziddletwix/which-mcu-movies-will-deadpool-wolv-995ddf33a18c
@traders 27 days left til the May 1st cutoff, figured I'd add some bonus options to really nail down the exact final gross. (My apologies for the sorting—until people price the probabilities in the right order, no available sorting option will look quite right. I'll set it to high -> low once the probabilities are right)
@Ziddletwix Also, now that the options are pretty granular, so there likely WILL be some close calls, I'll quote again the rules in the description that I'll follow:
I will use the number listed on BoxOfficeMojo whenever I check the site on May 1st. That means it won't necessarily have updated to include all gross that occurred in the world prior to May 1st.
Luckily May 1st is a Wednesday, so my guess is it will fully contain the updated international gross from the previous weekend (& I'll check the site at EOD on Wednesday, to make sure it's as updated as possible). But bear in mind that it probably won't contain that Wednesday domestic gross (plus a few days of international gross). This question was defined by whatever BoxOfficeMojo lists on that date.
Dune 2 is currently at $630,087,406 worldwide.