The source I am using is Nielsen. Here is their March 2024 report:
YouTube (9.7%)
Netflix (8.1%)
...
Peacock (1.3%)
Max (1.3%)
This market resolves to the streaming service that has higher viewership in Nielsen's April 2024 viewership report (whatever looks similar to that link).
I will use the order of the streaming services listed. I.e. in March, while both had 1.3% listed, I am assuming that with higher precision Peacock had slightly higher viewership (and thus was listed first).
If for some reason I am unable to find a similar-looking Nielsen streaming report for April by the end of June, this market will resolve N/A (I don't expect that to be an issue).
1,000
3.00@traders The April results are in—Peacock stayed strong(-ish) at 1.3%, while Max dropped (slightly) to 1.2%. Resolves to PEACOCK.
I made a fresh market for May. Can Max bounce back? It had the lead for most of last year. Note: the new market resolves to 50% each if they tie (given Nielsen's reported precision), like in March. So even if Peacock retains a lead, it might not be enough to avoid a tie.
For more action in the Streaming Wars, check out this market for whether Netflix can stay above 8% (i.e. >3x Max & Peacock combined):