MANIFOLD
Best Picture nominees? (2026 Oscars)
98
Ṁ23kṀ170k
resolved Jan 22
Resolved
YES
Sinners
Resolved
YES
Sentimental Value
Resolved
YES
Hamnet
Resolved
YES
Marty Supreme
Resolved
YES
Bugonia
Resolved
YES
One Battle After Another
Resolved
YES
Frankenstein
Resolved
YES
F1
Resolved
YES
The Secret Agent
Resolved
YES
Train Dreams
Resolved
NO
Wicked: For Good
Resolved
NO
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
Resolved
NO
No Other Choice
Resolved
NO
Rental Family
Resolved
NO
Jay Kelly
Resolved
NO
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Resolved
NO
A House of Dynamite
Resolved
NO
The Smashing Machine
Resolved
NO
It Was Just an Accident
Resolved
NO
Die, My Love
  • The 98th Academy Awards—currently scheduled for March 15th, 2026—will honor movies released in 2025.

  • This market will close before nominations are announced on January 22nd.

  • The current rules stipulate that 10 films will be nominated for Best Picture.

OSCARS 2026 DASHBOARD

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If you want to bet simultaneously on all the low probability nominees, you can get a good price here:

/Ziddletwix/will-there-be-a-surprising-best-pic

(Note: it resolves based on Kalshi, not this market.)

reposted

@traders It's October and Oscars season is picking up! Here are the (higher liquidity) markets for the Best Actor & Best Actress nominees:

/Ziddletwix/best-actor-nominees-2026-oscars

/Ziddletwix/best-actress-nominees-2026-oscars

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