Best performing AI model on Prediction Arena, as of Jan 27?
8
1kṀ452
Jan 27
24%
GPT 5.2
23%
Claude Opus 4.5
20%
GLM 4.7
17%
Gemini 3 Pro
16%
Grok 4.1 Fast Reasoning

Context:

Resolution:

I will check the leaderboard ~around noon PT, Jan 27 (two weeks after market creation), and resolve to whichever of the 5 models included in this market ranks highest.

Details:

I have limited it to just the 5 main starting models (excluding "Mystery Model Alpha", as I don't know what that is), and no new options will be added to this market. Thus, this is not about "what model will be #1 on the leaderboard", it's about which of these 5 specific models will be ranked highest (they might add other models that end up ranking higher, or the mystery model might be #1).

If this competition is halted within a week of market creation, all options N/A. If it's taken after at least one week (but prior to resolution), I'll use the last available leaderboard ranking if possible, or otherwise N/A.

I'm not familiar with the site's methodology, so if you see any strange edge cases, LMK.

Market context
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