Each market will resolve YES if the named film is the top 3 of Box Office Mojo's 2024 domestic gross ranking, as of July 1st: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
Modeled after this question, but the end of the year is very far away (we don't even know what movies will release in the fall) so I wanted a market for the first half of 2024.
Up to 3 options can resolve YES. Others can feel free to add their own options to cover any possibilities that are missing.
For reference, the top 3 as of question creation are Wonka, Mean Girls, and Anyone But You.
This is about "calendar gross" for 2024 (i.e. the "gross" column for Wonka excludes its December gross, whereas "total gross" would include that).
Bear in mind that some movies will not have completed their box office run by July 1st. For example, Inside Out 2 releases on June 14th, so <3 weeks of its box office will be included.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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This releases on July 3rd, 2024, so it should probably resolve N/A
@houstonEuler Oh you're totally right my bad. I misread the date, thought it said June 3rd. Will N/A it. My apologies to anyone who bet on the market with that included.
I'm resolving "Deadpool 3" with N/A because it isn't planned to release July 26th (after I will resolve the market). I don't want people losing their mana betting on it if they misread the question.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?