As of July 1st, what will be top 3 highest grossing (domestic) films of 2024? (So far)
Basic
18
Ṁ5566
resolved Jun 27
Resolved
YES
Dune: Part Two
Resolved
YES
Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire
Resolved
YES
Inside Out 2
Resolved
N/A
Despicable Me 4
Resolved
N/A
Deadpool 3
Resolved
NO
Kung Fu Panda 4
Resolved
NO
Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire
Resolved
NO
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
Resolved
NO
The Fall Guy
Resolved
NO
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Resolved
NO
Garfield
Resolved
NO
Civil War

Each market will resolve YES if the named film is the top 3 of Box Office Mojo's 2024 domestic gross ranking, as of July 1st: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

  • Modeled after this question, but the end of the year is very far away (we don't even know what movies will release in the fall) so I wanted a market for the first half of 2024.

  • Up to 3 options can resolve YES. Others can feel free to add their own options to cover any possibilities that are missing.

  • For reference, the top 3 as of question creation are Wonka, Mean Girls, and Anyone But You.

  • This is about "calendar gross" for 2024 (i.e. the "gross" column for Wonka excludes its December gross, whereas "total gross" would include that).

  • Bear in mind that some movies will not have completed their box office run by July 1st. For example, Inside Out 2 releases on June 14th, so <3 weeks of its box office will be included.

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@traders July 1st is almost here, & the top 3 are locked. I'll probably resolve some of the NOs early, i.e. the ones that have been hugely surpassed & are nowhere near the top 3 (& no longer grossing much) unless there are any objections.

predict the single winner of the summer in @mattyb ‘s market, last weekend of subsidized liquidity!

Despicable Me 4

This releases on July 3rd, 2024, so it should probably resolve N/A

@houstonEuler Oh you're totally right my bad. I misread the date, thought it said June 3rd. Will N/A it. My apologies to anyone who bet on the market with that included.

Deadpool 3

I'm resolving "Deadpool 3" with N/A because it isn't planned to release July 26th (after I will resolve the market). I don't want people losing their mana betting on it if they misread the question.

Deadpool 3

My bad, didn't read the question fully.

@houstonEuler No worries. Resolved N/A so no one should lose mana.

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